The graph above shows July daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.
The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents during July decline 2.7M km2 down to 6.9M Km2 by day 213. 2024 tracked a little higher than the 18-year average early in July, then slipped into deficit in the last 10 days. SII was close to MASIE early in July, then diverged mid month showing up to 666k km2 lower until ending July ~300k km2 less extent than MASIE. 2023 was higher than average, while 2007 ended ~ 540k km2 in deficit to average. 2020 ice ended nearly 1 Wadham or 1M km2 in deficit.
Why is this important? All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels. The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.
The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also. See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.
Also, a longer term perspective is informative:
The table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 213 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.
| Region | 2024213 | Day 213 Ave. | 2024-Ave. | 2007213 | 2024-2007 |
| (0) Northern_Hemisphere | 6634637 | 6882380 | -247743 | 6344860 | 289777 |
| (1) Beaufort_Sea | 717847 | 791600 | -73754 | 760576 | -42729 |
| (2) Chukchi_Sea | 702720 | 534093 | 168628 | 382350 | 320370 |
| (3) East_Siberian_Sea | 760894 | 740772 | 20122 | 445385 | 315509 |
| (4) Laptev_Sea | 223615 | 368247 | -144631 | 314382 | -90767 |
| (5) Kara_Sea | 136159 | 163171 | -27012 | 239232 | -103073 |
| (6) Barents_Sea | 454 | 31406 | -30952 | 23703 | -23249 |
| (7) Greenland_Sea | 237168 | 294526 | -57358 | 324737 | -87570 |
| (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence | 170245 | 145062 | 25183 | 94179 | 76066 |
| (9) Canadian_Archipelago | 454695 | 540106 | -85411 | 510063 | -55368 |
| (10) Hudson_Bay | 129434 | 133138 | -3704 | 93655 | 35780 |
| (11) Central_Arctic | 3098283 | 3138628 | -40345 | 3154837 | -56554 |
The overall deficit to average is 248k km2, (4%). The major deficits are in Laptev, Beaufort and CAA (Canadian Archipelago), while Kara is the only region with a large surplus.
Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.
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