Arctic Ice Normal Mid-April 2025

The animation shows end of March Arctic ice extents on day 91 over the last 19 years (length of MASIE dataset). Of course central Arctic basins are frozen solid, and the fluctuations are visible on the marginal basins both the Atlantic side (right) and the Pacific (left). Note the higher extents in 2012, followed by lesser ice, then overcome by 2024.

After a sub-par March maximum, now in mid-April, 2025 Arctic ice has mostly closed the gap with the 19-year average.

Day 75 is mid-March, typically near the highest daily extents of the year.  At that time 2025 was ~500k km2 below average, or Half a Wadham in deficit. By end of March this year the gap below average reached 600k km2.  However, note that over these 30 days MASIE shows an average ice extent loss of 781k km2, while 2025 lost almost no ice in April, hanging around the 14M km2 mark.  Both MASIE and SII showed the same resilience pattern in April 2025, well above 2021 and especially 2007.  The regional distribution of ice extents is particularly revealing.

Region 2025105 Day 105 Ave. 2025-Ave. 2007105 2025-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 13927695 14126275 -198580 13588722 338973
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1071001 1069881 1119 1068692 2309
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 965989 964751 1238 961638 4352
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1085653 1484 1078666 8471
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 893756 4089 843501 54344
 (5) Kara_Sea 921800 923592 -1792 890594 31206
 (6) Barents_Sea 517245 621900 -104655 439904 77341
 (7) Greenland_Sea 710333 661040 49293 673585 36749
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1306106 1274576 31530 1215526 90580
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854878 853052 1826 848812 6066
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1248738 1246317 2422 1208588 40150
 (11) Central_Arctic 3246240 3234033 12206 3235648.34 10591
 (12) Bering_Sea 657229 646796 10433 600281.22 56948
 (13) Baltic_Sea 13278 43789 -30511 23534.37 -10256
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 427895 601889 -173994 491121 -63226

The table shows only two significant deficits to average; Okhotsk alone is -174k km2, nearly matching the overall total of -199k km2, which is 1.4% below average.  The other deficit in Barents is mostly offset by surpluses in nearly every other Arctic basin with the exception of Baltic Sea. Clearly the core Arctic ocean is solidly frozen, with a few fringe seas going to open water slightly ahead of schedule.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post Ocean Warms, Land Cools UAH February 2025.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_level

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