Arctic Ice: All’s Well Ending April 2025

NOAA refers to the Month end Arctic ice extent by averaging the last five days extents.  Thus monthly gains and losses of ice can be obtained by subtracting the previous month end ice amount.  The chart above shows the April month end Arctic ice extents since 2007, comparing the two relevant datasets: Sea Ice Index (SII, based on satellite microwave sensors) and Multisensor Analyzed Sea Ice Extent (MASIE, based on multiple sources including several satellite sensors and visual analysis).

A sine wave pattern is evident starting after the low 2007 extent, rising to a peak in 2012, declining to 2019, before returning to the mean the last four years.

After a sub-par March maximum, now in April, 2025, Arctic ice has closed the gap with the 19-year average.

During April the average year loses 1.1M km2 of ice extent.  Meanwhile 2025 lost only 0.538 M km2, about half as much.  The end result is MASIE showing a slight deficit and SII a small surplus at end of April.

The regional distribution of ice extents is particularly revealing, as shown in the table below.

Region 2025120 Day 120 Ave. 2025-Ave. 2007120 2025-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 13428208 13510326 -82118 13108068 320140
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1071001 1068240 2761 1059189 11811
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 963094 957153 5942 949246 13848
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1085746 1391 1080176 6961
 (4) Laptev_Sea 893105 891206 1899 875661 17444
 (5) Kara_Sea 927530 915007 12523 864664 62866
 (6) Barents_Sea 563013 552738 10275 396544 166470
 (7) Greenland_Sea 703059 661036 42023 644438 58621
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1129634 1194283 -64650 1147115 -17481
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854878 849548 5330 838032 16846
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1249532 1238910 10622 1222074 27458
 (11) Central_Arctic 3244486 3231137 13349 3241034.13 3452
 (12) Bering_Sea 441499 477412 -35913 475489 -33990
 (13) Baltic_Sea 11180 21561 -10382 14683.79 -3504
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 287204 363423 -76219 295743 -8539

The table shows only three significant deficits to average; Okhotsk is -72k km2, and Bering adds -40k, together greater than the overall -82k km2, which is 0.6% below average.  The other deficit in Baffin Bay is  offset by surpluses in nearly every other Arctic basin with the exception of Baltic Sea. Clearly the core Arctic ocean is solidly frozen, with a few fringe seas going to open water slightly ahead of schedule.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post March 2025 UAH Yo-yo Temps.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_level

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