Solid Arctic Ice Recovery October 2025

The animation shows the rapid growth of Arctic ice extent during October 2025, from day 274 to day 304, yesterday.  For all of the fuss over the September minimum, little is said about Arctic ice growing 3M km2, that’s 3 Wadhams in one month!.  Look on the left (Russian side) at the complete closing of the Northern Sea Route for shipping.

The graph below shows 2025 compared to the 19 year average (2006 to 2024 inclusive), to SII (Sea Ice Index) and some notable years.

This year October added 2.6M km2 from end of September compared to an average October increase of 3.4M km2.  The first two weeks were above average, before the refreezing rate slowed down ending in a deficit of ~0.5M km2.  In other terms the end of October ice extents were four days behind the average, according to MASIE.  SII started the same, but tracked lower in the second half of October.

The table below shows the distribution of ice in the Arctic Ocean basins.

Region 2025304 Day 304 Ave. 2025-Ave. 2007304 2025-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 7867621 8401977 -534356 8175072 -307451
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 975681 937777 37904 1038126 -62444
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 683493 466318 217175 242685 440809
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087032 952325 134707 835071 251961
 (4) Laptev_Sea 849204 848501 703 887789 -38585
 (5) Kara_Sea 137515 478870 -341355 311960 -174445
 (6) Barents_Sea 1466 81088 -79621 52823 -51356
 (7) Greenland_Sea 351374 418343 -66969 443559 -92184
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 128777 247258 -118481 289374 -160596
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 568663 740190 -171526 817220 -248557
 (10) Hudson_Bay 8609 66501 -57892 48845 -40236
 (11) Central_Arctic 3051977 3153485 -101508 3206345.33 -154368

Overall ice extent was 534k km2 below average or 6%.  Surpluses appear on the Eurasian shelf seas of Beaufort, Chukchi and East Siberian, while sizeable deficits are shown elsewhere on the Atlantic side, especially Kara, Baffin Bay, Canadian Archipelago and Central Arctic.

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

 

 

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