Arctic Ice Nearly Average mid-February 2026

The arctic ice extents are now reported through mid-February 2026, showing rising refreezing rates bringing Arctic ice extents within 200k km2 of the 20-year average.  Remarkably, the last two days virtually matched the 2025 annual extent maximum of 14.48M km2 on day 80 of that year, compared to 14.44 on day 43 in 2026.

The chart below shows the 20-year averages for Arctic ice extents mid-Febrauary along with 2026 and 2025, as well as SII v.4.

As stated previously, likely due to a wavy polar vortex, MASIE 2026  refroze slowly in January reaching a deficit of 622k km2 on day 26.  Since then ice grew at a higher rate, ending this period 176k km2 below average, or 1% down. Note that compared to day 44 last year, 2026 ice is more than half a Wadham greater, 656k km2.  And as mentioned above, 2025 will not match yesterday until day 80. Note SII v.4 tracks lower than MASIE throughout, on average in deficit by 242K km2.

Region 2026044 Average day 44 2026-Ave. 2025044 2026-2025
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 14427481 14603337 -175856 13771518.64 655962
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1071070 1070384 686 1071000.73 69
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 966006 965785 222 965989.12 17
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1087132 5 1087137.23 0
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 897838 7 897844.8 0
 (5) Kara_Sea 935023 909437 25586 911762.37 23261
 (6) Barents_Sea 649606 566421 83185 434920.5 214686
 (7) Greenland_Sea 772110 625671 146439 635758.41 136351
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1040295 1429059 -388764 1335264.28 -294969
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854931 853531 1399 854877.96 53
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1260870 1260595 276 1260903.34 -33
 (11) Central_Arctic 3235930 3204874 31056 3195022.33 40907
 (12) Bering_Sea 689769 671512 18256 333643.58 356125
 (13) Baltic_Sea 155657 88990 66666 35593.84 120063
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 742439 914421 -171982 720462 21977

The table shows that most regions are close to or above the 20-year average.  Two major deficits are in Baffin Bay and Sea of Okhotsk, partly offset by several smaller surpluses, mostly in Greenland Sea, Barents and Bering seas.

 

 

 

 

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