In response to a comment, this post shows the effect of GHCN adjustments on each of the 23 stations. The average station was warmed by +0.58 C/Century, from +.18 to +.76, comparing adjusted to unadjusted records.
19 station records were warmed, 6 of them by more than +1 C/century. 4 stations were cooled, most of the total cooling coming at one station, Tallahassee.
So for this set of stations, the chance of adjustments producing warming is 19/23 or 83%.
| Unadjusted | Adjusted | Adjusted – Unadjusted | |||
| Years in | Stn Trends | Stn Trends | Stn Trends | ||
| Record | °C/Century | °C/Century | °C/Century | ||
| 351862 | CORVALLIS | 125 | 0.38 | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| 350412 | BAKER CITY | 125 | -0.01 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| 51564 | CHEYENNE WELLS | 118 | 0.84 | 1.18 | 0.34 |
| 83186 | FT MYERS | 121 | 1.18 | 1.05 | -0.12 |
| 121873 | CRAWFORDSVILLE | 115 | -2.00 | -0.43 | 1.57 |
| 97847 | SAVANNAH | 141 | -0.09 | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| 42941 | FAIRMONT | 93 | 0.90 | 1.91 | 1.01 |
| 48702 | SUSANVILLE | 119 | 0.04 | 0.84 | 0.81 |
| 80211 | APALACHICOLA | 111 | -0.07 | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| 86997 | PENSACOLA | 135 | 0.27 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
| 88758 | TALLAHASSEE | 123 | 0.07 | -0.48 | -0.54 |
| 160549 | BATON ROUGE | 122 | -0.07 | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| 226177 | NATCHEZ | 121 | -0.78 | 0.59 | 1.37 |
| 238466 | TRUMAN DAM & RSVR | 122 | -0.56 | 0.62 | 1.19 |
| 245690 | MILES CITY | 123 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.03 |
| 269171 | WINNEMUCCA | 137 | 0.39 | 1.11 | 0.71 |
| 308383 | SYRACUSE | 112 | 0.78 | 0.73 | -0.05 |
| 322188 | DICKINSON | 120 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.11 |
| 325479 | MANDAN | 102 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 0.25 |
| 369728 | WILLIAMSPORT | 120 | 0.10 | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| 376698 | PROVIDENCE | 130 | 0.68 | 1.25 | 0.56 |
| 417945 | SAN ANTONIO | 130 | 0.30 | 0.92 | 0.62 |
| 15749 | MUSCLE SHOALS | 74 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.04 |
| Averages | 0.18 | 0.76 | 0.58 |