Arctic Update: Hell Freezing Over

The title of this post is over the top, but was provoked by the repeated claims last summer earth was going to hell right now.  For example,

The world’s summer of hell.  Hot, hot, hot: Summer of extremes setting heat records around the world, July 2018, CBC

Summer 2018: On the highway to hell? August 2018, Beyond Ratings

Earth at risk of becoming ‘hothouse’ if tipping point reached, if we can’t stop it we’re in a hell of a mess..August 2018, CNN

The Summer of Hell.  Climate change is here and we are living in its embers.  August 2018 The Week (US)

Meanwhile, back in reality, Arctic ice is spreading everywhere.  The image below shows the European side in the last two weeks:

Laptev and East Siberian in the middle are frozen solid. On the right Kara has added 400k km2 ice extent up to 700k km2, 75% of March maximum.  Below is the freezing proceeding on the Canadian side.

Baffin Bay in the center next to Greenland is extending south and added 300k km2.  Hudson Bay on the left added 400k km2, with the western coastline freezing all the way down into James Bay.  The graph below shows 2018 is matching the 11-year average after being down in October.

Both MASIE and SII have 9.9M km2 ice extents matching the average for day 320, Nov. 16.  2007, 2012 and 2017 all recovered from their September lows, while 2016 was much slower to refreeze.

Region 2018320 Day 320 
Average
2018-Ave. 2007320 2018-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 9937017 9942096 -5078 9824193 112824
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1069588 1064590 4999 1059182 10406
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 615028 667249 -52222 519486 95541
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1085198 1077597 7601 1055581 29617
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 897648 197 897845 0
 (5) Kara_Sea 701192 655668 45524 774297 -73105
 (6) Barents_Sea 65798 167138 -101340 149482 -83684
 (7) Greenland_Sea 378273 482289 -104016 533946 -155672
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 711715 555346 156369 545899 165816
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 853337 851902 1435 852539 798
 (10) Hudson_Bay 426092 261863 164228 244531 181560
 (11) Central_Arctic 3107467 3186378 -78911 3163043 -55576

Deficits in Chukchi, Greenland and Barents Seas are offset by surpluses in Kara Sea, Baffin and Hudson Bays.

Meanwhile, in Nunavut, it is a great time to be a polar bear, even more of them than people want.

When Hell Freezes Over (Eagles Reunion Tour)

 

3 comments

  1. Francis's avatar
    Francis · November 17, 2018

    Thanks for continuing to “do” the science, Ron. And thanks for working in the reference to The Eagles, my favourite group/band. (And including a version of one of my favourites: Hotel California.)

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    • Ron Clutz's avatar
      Ron Clutz · November 17, 2018

      Francis, you’re welcome. Funny how things come together. In looking up the climate hell quotes, somehow the eagles and hell freezes over showed up, providing me with the title. That also led to a quote by Winston Churchill: “When the eagles are silent, the parrots begin to jabber.” Could apply either to the state of pop music or of climate science.

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  2. HiFast's avatar
    Hifast · November 17, 2018

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

    Like

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