In the past few years, the earth cooled after warming from the 2015-2016 El Nino, and with higher North Atlantic summer anomalies repeating in 2020. The cooling was significant as shown in the chart below (from the UAH satellite temperature dataset.)
The Global anomaly dropped from +0.7C January 2016 to <0.0C January 2023. And of course the media ignored that cooling since they are addicted to the global warming narrative: temperatures can only go up, since CO2 keeps rising. On the contrary, the chart shows CO2 did rise steadily, while temps fluctuated up and down, ending this period of 27 years flat.
The calendar turning to June and the official start to summer triggers the usual alarms that this year will surely be the hottest ever. Headlines recently:
♦ Is 2023 going to be the hottest year on record? World Economic Forum
♦ Why 2023 is shaping up to be the hottest year on record New Scientist
♦ Global temperatures in 2023 set to be among hottest on record The Guardian
♦ 2023 will be ‘one of the hottest on record’ says Met Office BBC
And of course you can count on NYT to totally jump the shark:
♦ The Last 8 Years Were the Hottest on Record – The New York Times
Curiously, a lot of us have so far seen unseasonably cool temperatures this year, and wonder where this hottest year could be? I mean, 60 cm of snow yesterday in Jasper Park Alberta? Suspecting that we have again a weather/climate perception that exists everywhere elsewhere, I turned to NOAA’s Climate at a Glance website to see what their data shows.
Climate reporting is confusing because the scope of temperature averaging gives very different impressions, and at the mega scale rarely corresponds to anyone’s particular experience. So generalizations are claimed extrapolating from statistics, contradicted by many persons’ direct experience.
NOAA State of the Climate is another site advocating for the IPCC agenda and illustrates how this works. First the Global Climate Report:
So there is the #1 warmest Ocean, but we now can see the Land was 8th and combined Global is 3rd, not 1st. Now let’s look at the year to date (YTD):
Oh oh, that’s not as scary; the first 5/12ths of 2023 are not #1, but the ocean is #3, Land #6, and the Global start to the year is #4. And the table shows that 2016 was the hottest, consistent with the UAH graph above.
And to understand why most people will be put off by hottest year claims, we go to the Regional Analysis in order to see what the year has been like in various continents (land by definition).
It becomes obvious that no matter where I live, don’t tell me this is the hottest year ever. OK some Africans and Europeans may agree, but those in Oceania (mostly Australians) will boo you out of the room.
Footnote: Everyone has an agenda and packages data in support of their POV. Those who joined the anti-hydrocarbon crusade are bound to find and amplify any bit of global warming they can find. My agenda is for people to consider the full amount of relevant data and facts, and to reason accordingly rather than go along with the crowd or their feelings. My approach is best expressed in this essay:
Science Matters 