Still Surplus Arctic Ice End of June 2024

The graph above shows June daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents decline from a maximum of 11.6M km2 on day 153 down to 9.7M Km2 by day 182.  2024 started slightly higher, then tracked below the 18-year average, before ending above average.  SII was somewhat higher than MASIE most of June until ending nearly the same. 2007 melted faster than average, while 2020 ice started and ended much in deficit.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH May 2024: NH Cooling by Land and Sea.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 182 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.

Region 2024182 Day 182 Ave 2024-Ave. 2007182 2024-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 9829571 9662331  167240  9379951.31 449620 
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 921615 919484  2132  912323.51 9292 
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 832358 723506  108851  650489.98 181868 
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1028480 1008708  19772  878945.14 149534 
 (4) Laptev_Sea 674023 696937  -22914  652206.83 21816 
 (5) Kara_Sea 733875 529007  204868  600511.02 133364 
 (6) Barents_Sea 100803 105335  -4531  112929.89 -12127 
 (7) Greenland_Sea 501023 496290  4733  546984.13 -45961 
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 591648 512555  79093  427145.99 164502 
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 717214 776159  -58946  765307.59 -48094 
 (10) Hudson_Bay 505046 671642  -166596  617582.73 -112537 
 (11) Central_Arctic 3216938 3205266  11672  3210046.66 6891 

The overall surplus to average is 167k km2, (2%).  The only major deficit is in Hudson Bay, going to open water next month anyway.  That is more than offset by surpluses everywhere, especially in Chukchi, Kara and Baffin Bay.  Note that 2007 had almost half a Wadham of less ice extent at June 30. 

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

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