Still Surplus Arctic Ice Mid April 2024

The animation shows  Arctic ice melting season picking up first half of April 2024.  Typically, the Pacific side goes to water first, this year Okhotsk (top left) is ahead of schedule.  Also Baffin Bay (bottom right) is opening up early. Elsewhere Arctic drift ice remains, and Barents Sea ice (top center) is well above average for mid April.

The graph below shows mid-March to mid-April daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

 

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents decline from a maximum near 14.9M km2 on day 76 down to ~14.1M Km2 by day 105. Exceptionally 2024 started with 15.1M km2 and exceeded the 18-year average throughout.  SII was somewhat lower than MASIE in most of April until ending nearly the same. Both 2021 melted faster than average, while 2006 ice started and ended much in deficit.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH February 2024: SH Saves Global Warming.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See USCS Warnings of Coastal Flooding

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 105 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2006.

Region 2024105 Day 105 Ave 2024-Ave. 2006105 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 14244041 14119733 124309 13589226 654815
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1070983 1069820 1163 1068683 2301
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 966006 964681 1325 965591 415
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1085571 1567 1083591 3546
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 893528 4316 896528 1317
 (5) Kara_Sea 935023 922957 12066 912379 22645
 (6) Barents_Sea 856908 608844 248064 495112 361796
 (7) Greenland_Sea 802111 653203 148908 599062 203049
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1179443 1279861 -100418 1042266 137178
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854860 852951 1909 851056 3804
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1231701 1247129 -15428 1235951 -4250
 (11) Central_Arctic 3247180 3233303 13877 3168930 78250
 (12) Bering_Sea 639179 647219 -8040 667951 -28772
 (13) Baltic_Sea 31107 44493 -13386 84568 -53461
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 442660 610735 -168075 507143 -64483

The overall surplus to average is 124k km2, (1%).  The only major deficits are in Baffin Bay and in Sea of Okhotsk, the latter going to open water quite early.  Those are more than offset by surpluses everywhere, especially in Barents and Greenland seas.  In fact, Barents is 120% of  its 2023 maximum.

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring Arctic ice extents.

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