Mid August 2024 Normal Arctic Ice Melt in Progress

 

The graph above shows Mid July to Mid August daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents during this period decline 2.4M km2 down to 5.8M Km2 by day 229.  2024 tracked somewhat lower than the 18-year average in late July, then in August drew near to average before slipping into deficit the last 5 days. In the end, 2024 is presently close to 2023 and 2007, ~200k km2 below the 18 year MASIE average.

Remarkably, SII is showing much larger deficits to average than MASIE does. This period began with SII having a gap of 400k km2 less ice extent than MASIE, then increased that deficit as high as 700k km2, before reporting a gap of 537k km2 on day 229, a difference of half a Wadham. The effect will be for SII to report much lower monthly averages for ice extents during July and August, prior to the annual minimum occurring in September.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 229 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.

Region 2024229 Day 229 Ave 2024-Ave. 2007229 2024-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 5623262 5828731 -205469 5673531 -50270
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 591190 698788 -107598 767181 -175991
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 554701 425156 129544 253092 301609
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 641562 535416 106146 154536 487026
 (4) Laptev_Sea 268971 240911 28059 284910 -15939
 (5) Kara_Sea 14414 96702 -82288 201203 -186789
 (6) Barents_Sea 0 21833 -21833 17229 -17229
 (7) Greenland_Sea 120478 216573 -96095 310070 -189591
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 46366 53298 -6932 75105 -28739
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 319281 399712 -80431 382407 -63126
 (10) Hudson_Bay 33319 58874 -25555 89354 -56034
 (11) Central_Arctic 3031923 3080445 -48523 3137188.82 -105266

The overall deficit to average is 205k km2, (3.5%).  The major deficits are in  Beaufort, Kara, Greenland Sea and CAA (Canadian Archipelago), partly offset by surpluses in Chukchi and East Siberian.

For more on the differences between MASIE and SII see this post:

Support MASIE Arctic Ice Dataset

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

There is no charge for content on this site, nor for subscribers to receive email notifications of postings.

 

Arctic Ice Slight Deficit July 31, 2024

 

The graph above shows July daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents during July decline 2.7M km2 down to 6.9M Km2 by day 213.  2024  tracked a little higher than the 18-year average early in July, then slipped into deficit in the last 10 days.  SII was close to MASIE early in July, then diverged mid month showing up to 666k km2 lower until ending July ~300k km2 less extent than MASIE.  2023 was higher than average, while 2007 ended ~ 540k km2 in deficit to average.  2020 ice ended nearly 1 Wadham or 1M km2 in deficit.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 213 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.

Region 2024213 Day 213 Ave. 2024-Ave. 2007213 2024-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 6634637 6882380 -247743 6344860 289777
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 717847 791600 -73754 760576 -42729
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 702720 534093 168628 382350 320370
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 760894 740772 20122 445385 315509
 (4) Laptev_Sea 223615 368247 -144631 314382 -90767
 (5) Kara_Sea 136159 163171 -27012 239232 -103073
 (6) Barents_Sea 454 31406 -30952 23703 -23249
 (7) Greenland_Sea 237168 294526 -57358 324737 -87570
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 170245 145062 25183 94179 76066
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 454695 540106 -85411 510063 -55368
 (10) Hudson_Bay 129434 133138 -3704 93655 35780
 (11) Central_Arctic 3098283 3138628 -40345 3154837 -56554

The overall deficit to average is 248k km2, (4%).  The major deficits are in Laptev, Beaufort and CAA (Canadian Archipelago), while Kara is the only region with a large surplus.

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

There is no charge for content on this site, nor for subscribers to receive email notifications of postings.

 

Arctic Ice Persists Mid July 2024

The animation shows Arctic ice extents on Day 197 for years 2007 to 2024. The regions vary in the amounts of ice cover Mid July, larger overall in recent years and with more Eurasian ice.

The graph below shows June daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents decline from a maximum of 10.8M km2 on day 167 down to 8.3M Km2 by day 197.  2024  tracked near the 18-year average in June, then was in surplus during July before ending slightly above average.  SII was somewhat higher than MASIE most of June and July until sliding into deficit mid July.  2007 was somewhat below average throughout, while 2020 ice started and ended much in deficit.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 197 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.

Region 2024197 Day 197 ave 2024-Ave. 2007197 2024-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 8338669 8258593 80076 7963047 375622
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 832210 863030 -30819 825810 6400
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 742694 633081 109613 550547 192147
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 965134 908579 56555 729250 235883
 (4) Laptev_Sea 419331 552028 -132697 525724 -106393
 (5) Kara_Sea 484826 330804 154022 401874 82952
 (6) Barents_Sea 9178 54630 -45452 60637 -51458
 (7) Greenland_Sea 440448 396477 43970 434750 5698
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 366786 298193 68594 314783 52003
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 662877 707225 -44348 711889 -49013
 (10) Hudson_Bay 261980 338408 -76428 183962 78018
 (11) Central_Arctic 3149696 3172256 -22560 3222022 -72326

The overall surplus to average is 80k km2, (1%).  The only major deficits are in Laptev, and secondly in Hudson Bay, going to open water soon anyway.  That is more than offset by surpluses elsewhere, especially in Chukchi, Kara and Baffin Bay.  Note that 2007 had 375k m2 less ice extent at July 15. 

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

There is no charge for content on this site, nor for subscribers to receive email notifications of postings.

 

Still Surplus Arctic Ice End of June 2024

The graph above shows June daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents decline from a maximum of 11.6M km2 on day 153 down to 9.7M Km2 by day 182.  2024 started slightly higher, then tracked below the 18-year average, before ending above average.  SII was somewhat higher than MASIE most of June until ending nearly the same. 2007 melted faster than average, while 2020 ice started and ended much in deficit.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH May 2024: NH Cooling by Land and Sea.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 182 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.

Region 2024182 Day 182 Ave 2024-Ave. 2007182 2024-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 9829571 9662331  167240  9379951.31 449620 
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 921615 919484  2132  912323.51 9292 
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 832358 723506  108851  650489.98 181868 
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1028480 1008708  19772  878945.14 149534 
 (4) Laptev_Sea 674023 696937  -22914  652206.83 21816 
 (5) Kara_Sea 733875 529007  204868  600511.02 133364 
 (6) Barents_Sea 100803 105335  -4531  112929.89 -12127 
 (7) Greenland_Sea 501023 496290  4733  546984.13 -45961 
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 591648 512555  79093  427145.99 164502 
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 717214 776159  -58946  765307.59 -48094 
 (10) Hudson_Bay 505046 671642  -166596  617582.73 -112537 
 (11) Central_Arctic 3216938 3205266  11672  3210046.66 6891 

The overall surplus to average is 167k km2, (2%).  The only major deficit is in Hudson Bay, going to open water next month anyway.  That is more than offset by surpluses everywhere, especially in Chukchi, Kara and Baffin Bay.  Note that 2007 had almost half a Wadham of less ice extent at June 30. 

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

There is no charge for content on this site, nor for subscribers to receive email notifications of postings.

 

Arctic Ice Persists May 2024

Research ship drifting along with Arctic ice, May 2019 US Naval Institute

In May, most of the Arctic ocean basins are still frozen over, while the melting of ice extent is underway in the marginal regions.   During May, on average according to MASIE, Arctic ice extents lose 1.7 M km2, and 2024 matched that.  The few basins where open water appears this time of year tend to fluctuate and alternate waxing and waning.  Unusual were the much greater extents estimated by SII (Sea Ice Index, the satellite dataset)

The graph below shows for the month of May patterns for ice extents on average, this year and some other years of note.

The graph shows the 18-year average loss for April is 1.7M km2.  2024 tracked nearly average this month throughout. Remarkably, SII showed higher all month, ~200k km2 on average and 315k km2 higher than MASIE yesterday. Other recent years have been nearly average, while 2006 ended with a large defict of ~300k km2 below average.

Region 2024152 Day 152 Ave 2024-Ave. 2006152 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 11720589 11685746 34843 11391134 329455
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1015932 1008887 7045 1063879 -47947
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 913510 866924 46586 907609 5900
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1072016 1065772 6244 1073889 -1873
 (4) Laptev_Sea 828093 828959 -866 856108 -28016
 (5) Kara_Sea 885435 822185 63250 848172 37263
 (6) Barents_Sea 444502 301553 142948 180906 263596
 (7) Greenland_Sea 641881 584813 57067 522040 119841
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 880982 888621 -7639 721606 159376
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 777801 813422 -35621 800561 -22760
 (10) Hudson_Bay 902359 1082841 -180482 968121 -65762
 (11) Central_Arctic 3232002 3219651 12351 3188696 43306
 (12) Bering_Sea 102241 112773 -10532 166326 -64085
 (13) Baltic_Sea 285 177 108 720 -435
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 22088 87670 -65582 89739 -67651

The table shows regional ice extents in km2.  Note that Hudson and Baffin Bays have started melting, and Hudson is ahead of normal and will likely go to open water in a few weeks. Sea of Okhotsk on the Pacific side is 66k in deficit, with little ice left to lose.  Note the huge surplus in Barents sea on the European side. Everywhere else is mostly in surplus, especially the seas of Barents, Greenland and Kara.  2006 had 329k km2 less ice extent than 2024 (one third of a Wadham).

The polar bears had a Valentine Day’s wish for Arctic Ice.

welovearcticicefinal

And Arctic Ice loves them back, returning every year so the bears can roam and hunt for seals.

Footnote:

Seesaw accurately describes Arctic ice in another sense:  The ice we see now is not the same ice we saw previously.  It is better to think of the Arctic as an ice blender than as an ice cap, explained in the post The Great Arctic Ice Exchange.

Sunrise over frozen Bering Sea

Arctic Ice Plentiful Mid May 2024

Research ship drifting along with Arctic ice, May 2019 US Naval Institute

In May, most of the Arctic ocean basins are still frozen over, while the melting of ice extent is underway in the marginal regions.   During the last 30 days, on average according to MASIE, Arctic ice extents lose 1.4M km2. The few basins where open water appears this time of year tend to fluctuate and alternate waxing and waning.

The graph below shows the mid April to mid May patterns for ice extents on average, this year and some other years of note.

 

The graph shows the 18-year average loss for April is 1.4M km2.  2024 started this period with a slight deficit and ended 136k km2 above average.  SII showed higher throughout, and much greater extents in May (still awaiting the number for Day 136). Other recent years have been nearly average, while 2006 ended with a large defict of ~400k km2.

Region 2024136 Day 136 Ave 2024-Ave. 2006136 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 12740271 12604358 135913 12157814 582457
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1059379 1045092 14287 1066139 -6760
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 962124 924541 37582 956734 5389
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1081877 1081548 330 1074876 7001
 (4) Laptev_Sea 892100 879228 12872 889990 2109
 (5) Kara_Sea 875173 876506 -1333 839569 35603
 (6) Barents_Sea 562240 406857 155382 182554 379686
 (7) Greenland_Sea 666605 613812 52793 519337 147268
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 984569 1059633 -75065 892335 92234
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 838357 841188 -2831 828806 9550
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1117021 1177260 -60239 1071342 45679
 (11) Central_Arctic 3216321 3225072 -8750 3169225 47096
 (12) Bering_Sea 370480 285787 84693 478464 -107984
 (13) Baltic_Sea 14356 5552 8804 15239 -883
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 98529 179953 -81424 168615 -70086

The table shows regional ice extents in km2.  Note that Hudson and Baffin Bays have started melting, and Hudson will likely go to open water in a few weeks. Sea of Okhotsk on the Pacific side is down 81k, offset by a similar surplus  in Bering sea. Note the huge surplus in Barents sea on the European side. Everywhere else is mostly in surplus, especially the seas of Barents, Greenland and Bering.  2006 had 582k km2 less ice extent than 2024 (more than half a Wadham).

The polar bears had a Valentine Day’s wish for Arctic Ice.

welovearcticicefinal

And Arctic Ice loves them back, returning every year so the bears can roam and hunt for seals.

Footnote:

Seesaw accurately describes Arctic ice in another sense:  The ice we see now is not the same ice we saw previously.  It is better to think of the Arctic as an ice blender than as an ice cap, explained in the post The Great Arctic Ice Exchange.

Sunrise over frozen Bering Sea

April 2024 Arctic Ice Seesaw

In April, most of the Arctic ocean basins are still frozen over, and so the melting of ice extent begins in the marginal regions.   According to MASIE, April on average loses 1.1M km2, and this month it was 1.4M. However, April 2024 started well above average, slipped into deficit and ended up above normal. The few basins where open water appears this time of year tend to fluctuate and alternate waxing and waning, which appears as a see saw pattern in these images.

On the left is the Pacific seesaw with Bering below and Okhotsk above.  This year Okhotsk melted out rapidly, and at the end held only 181k km2, 14% of its March maximum.  Meanwhile Bering waffled up and down and retained ~60% (444k km2) of its max ice at the end. The Atlantic seesaw is Barents top center and Baffin on the right below Greenland.  Barents also waffled but lost no ice extent until the last week, ending up with 666k km2 (76% of its max). Baffin fluctuated before ending down to 1.06M (72% of its. max.).

While the bulk of the Arctic is frozen solid, the melting has started with the seesaws tilting back and forth in the four regions noted above.  The graph below shows the April patterns for ice extents on average, this year and some other years of note.

The graph shows the 18-year average loss for April is 1.1M km2.  2024 started with 236k km2 surplus ice extent and ended 44k km2 above average.  SII showed lower extents the first half, and greater extents the latter half, ending with a small surplus to MASIE.  Other recent years have been nearly average, while 2006 ended with a large deficit.

Region 2024121 Day 121 Ave 2024-Ave. 2006121 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 13498263 13454328 43935 13037927 460336
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1070983 1068053 2931 1067609 3374
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 965784 956102 9682 965302 483
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1085711 1426 1083591 3546
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 890453 7392 896455 1390
 (5) Kara_Sea 930744 909660 21084 911941 18803
 (6) Barents_Sea 666436 539906 126530 366229 300207
 (7) Greenland_Sea 790758 648904 141854 533678 257079
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1060935 1195567 -134633 1037524 23411
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854860 849541 5320 843395 11465
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1242383 1236594 5789 1178518 63865
 (11) Central_Arctic 3232686 3231036 1651 3098989 133698
 (12) Bering_Sea 495771 459644 36127 639162 -143391
 (13) Baltic_Sea 19703 44493 -24791 29017 -9314
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 180662 610735 -430073 381798 -201136

The table shows regional ice extents in km2.  Note the huge deficit in Okhotsk and a smaller deficit in Baffin.  Everywhere else is in surplus, especially the seas of Barents, Greenland and Bering.  2006 had 460k km2 less ice extent (nearly half a Wadham) than 2024.

The polar bears had a Valentine Day’s wish for Arctic Ice.

welovearcticicefinal

And Arctic Ice loves them back, returning every year so the bears can roam and hunt for seals.

Footnote:

Seesaw accurately describes Arctic ice in another sense:  The ice we see now is not the same ice we saw previously.  It is better to think of the Arctic as an ice blender than as an ice cap, explained in the post The Great Arctic Ice Exchange.

Still Surplus Arctic Ice Mid April 2024

The animation shows  Arctic ice melting season picking up first half of April 2024.  Typically, the Pacific side goes to water first, this year Okhotsk (top left) is ahead of schedule.  Also Baffin Bay (bottom right) is opening up early. Elsewhere Arctic drift ice remains, and Barents Sea ice (top center) is well above average for mid April.

The graph below shows mid-March to mid-April daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

 

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents decline from a maximum near 14.9M km2 on day 76 down to ~14.1M Km2 by day 105. Exceptionally 2024 started with 15.1M km2 and exceeded the 18-year average throughout.  SII was somewhat lower than MASIE in most of April until ending nearly the same. Both 2021 melted faster than average, while 2006 ice started and ended much in deficit.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH February 2024: SH Saves Global Warming.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See USCS Warnings of Coastal Flooding

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 105 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2006.

Region 2024105 Day 105 Ave 2024-Ave. 2006105 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 14244041 14119733 124309 13589226 654815
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1070983 1069820 1163 1068683 2301
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 966006 964681 1325 965591 415
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1085571 1567 1083591 3546
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 893528 4316 896528 1317
 (5) Kara_Sea 935023 922957 12066 912379 22645
 (6) Barents_Sea 856908 608844 248064 495112 361796
 (7) Greenland_Sea 802111 653203 148908 599062 203049
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1179443 1279861 -100418 1042266 137178
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854860 852951 1909 851056 3804
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1231701 1247129 -15428 1235951 -4250
 (11) Central_Arctic 3247180 3233303 13877 3168930 78250
 (12) Bering_Sea 639179 647219 -8040 667951 -28772
 (13) Baltic_Sea 31107 44493 -13386 84568 -53461
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 442660 610735 -168075 507143 -64483

The overall surplus to average is 124k km2, (1%).  The only major deficits are in Baffin Bay and in Sea of Okhotsk, the latter going to open water quite early.  Those are more than offset by surpluses everywhere, especially in Barents and Greenland seas.  In fact, Barents is 120% of  its 2023 maximum.

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring Arctic ice extents.

There is no charge for content on this site, nor for subscribers to receive email notifications of postings.

Arctic Ice Marches Upward 2024

The animation shows end of March Arctic ice extents on day 91 over the last 19 years (length of MASIE dataset). Of course central Arctic basins are frozen solid, and the fluctuations are visible on the marginal basins both the Atlantic side (right) and the Pacific (left). Note the higher extents in 2012, followed by lesser ice, now overcome by 2024.

The graph below shows Monthly averages for March since 2007.  March is the maximum month in the annual cycle in contrast to September being the minimum Arctic ice extents. Note the low 2007 extents followed by several years over15M km2, then lesser extents 2015 to 2018, and increasing extents up to 2024 nearly averaging 15M for the month.

 

The graph below shows March daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

 

The black line shows during March on average Arctic ice extents nearly reach 15 Wadhams (15M km2) on Day 62, March 2.  A slow decline is normal until Day 91, March 31.  However, that period in 2024 saw Arctic ice go over 15M on day 68 and remain there until day 79. Afterward both MASIE and SII show above average extents to month end.  2006 was the first year in this dataset and ended March ~800k km2 in deficit to average.  2021 and 2023 were ~200k below average on Day 91 while 2024 ended 266k km2 surplus ice.   As usual in transitional months like March and September, SII (Sea Ice Index) shows a similar pattern with generally lower extents.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH February 2024: SH Saves Global Warming.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See USCS Warnings of Coastal Flooding

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 91 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2006.

Region 2024091 Day 91 ave 2024-Ave. 2006091 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 14854967 14589377 265590 13821470 1033497
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1070983 1070226 758 1068683 2301
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 966006 963401 2606 959091 6915
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1086151 987 1084120 3017
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 896053 1792 896510 1335
 (5) Kara_Sea 935023 919656 15367 910487 24536
 (6) Barents_Sea 845789 657875 187914 622588 223201
 (7) Greenland_Sea 771533 661909 109624 601310 170223
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1238205 1384413 -146208 1003875 234330
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854860 853089 1772 851691 3169
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1260903 1255353 5551 1240389 20514
 (11) Central_Arctic 3248013 3235452 12561 3239349 8664
 (12) Bering_Sea 724493 703487 21006 658979 65514
 (13) Baltic_Sea 50165 61636 -11471 114622 -64457
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 900660 831057 69602 558027 342633

The overall surplus to average is 266k km2, (2%).  The only major deficit is in Baffin Bay, more than offset by surpluses everywhere, especially in Okhotsk, Barents and Greenland seas.  Note Arctic ice yesterday was more than a Wadham greater than the same day in 2006.

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring Arctic ice extents.

 

Arctic Ice Breaks Max Ceiling Mid March 2024

Arctic Ice Roaring Back in Max Month of March

The animation shows growing Arctic ice extents over the last two weeks. Of course central Arctic basins are frozen solid, and the additions are visible on both the Atlantic side (right) and the Pacific (left).

The graph below shows March daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.

The black line shows during March on average Arctic ice extents nearly reach 15 Wadhams (15M km2) on Day 62, March 2.  A slow decline is normal until Day 75, March 15.  However, that period in 2024 saw Arctic ice increase 430k km2, nearly half a Wadham.  Note also that this year ice extents rose above 15M already in February, and now in March ice has been well above that threshold for the last week.  2006 was the first year in this dataset and on Day 75 was 704k km2 less than yesterday.  As usual in transitional months like March and September SII (Sea Ice Index) shows a similar pattern with generally lower extents.

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH January 2024: Ocean Warm, Land Cooling.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See USCS Warnings of Coastal Flooding

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

post-glacial_sea_levelThe table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 75 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2006.

Region 2024075 Day 75 Ave 2024-Ave. 2006075 2024-2006
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 15124987 14895040 229947 14420679 704309
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1070983 1070317 667 1069711 1273
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 966006 965891 115 964227 1779
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1087137 1087110 27 1086702 435
 (4) Laptev_Sea 897845 897837 8 897773 71
 (5) Kara_Sea 935023 920555 14469 921428 13595
 (6) Barents_Sea 671826 643180 28646 646196 25630
 (7) Greenland_Sea 771468 621747 149721 613161 158308
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 1336897 1529678 -192781 1134817 202080
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 854860 853214 1646 852715 2145
 (10) Hudson_Bay 1260903 1258048 2855 1251360 9543
 (11) Central_Arctic 3243865 3222218 21647 3244243 -378
 (12) Bering_Sea 723227 735481 -12254 635252 87975
 (13) Baltic_Sea 78741 80321 -1580 175063 -96322
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 1215262 990338 224924 874372 340890

The overall surplus to average is 230k km2, (2%).  The only major deficit is in Baffin Bay, more than offset by surpluses in Okhotsk and Greenland seas.  Everywhere else is maxed out.

bathymetric_map_arctic_ocean

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring Arctic ice extents.