What If It’s Global Cooling, Not Warming?

IOGP oil and gas plumbing

Chris MacIntosh has an article at zerohedge Global warming or cooling? Excerpts in italics with my bolds.

Wouldn’t it be ironic that instead of the planet-warming over the next 30 years, it actually went into a cooling phase?

When we first heard of sunspot activity and forecasting climate based on the level of solar spot activity we thought this was pixyland stuff.

However, when we “opened our minds” and started to dig deeper we realized there was something going on here. Make your own minds up. We aren’t trying to change anyone’s view but rather encourage you to open your perspectives.

You might like to read this:
“THE NEXT 30 YEARS WILL BE COLD,” SAYS CLIMATE SCIENTIST DR. WILLIE SOON

And this:
NEW PAPER USES AI TO PREDICT THE SUNSPOT CYCLES: LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY UNTIL 2050

Frankly, I’m no scientist but I ran a VC firm for some years, and I’ll tell you what. You are presented with such a ton of “opportunities” that it will make your head spin.

Sorting the wheat from the chaff is quite literally a full time role, and one thing that gets honed like a sword on an anvil is the skeptical critical thinking part of our brain.

Trust but verify is so very important. And what I do know is that the entire global warming narrative, together with “the science is settled,” is complete utter nonsense. It has been extraordinarily successful, too.

Kids these days are being taught it. Mind you, my daughter, who had to present a project on it at school, provided a shocking red pill (Dad helped her on her project) to the class and her teacher.   We literally have a class of people in the world today who are successful as professional hysterics.

However, what we do know is that global energy markets (and a whole host of other second order consequences) are not priced for a cooling of the planet over the next 30 years.

That is why we can get a payback of our investment in coal assets after about 5 years but it will take 100 years to get a payback from investing in Tesla.

What would happen to energy prices (natgas, coal, oil) if the world did in fact get colder over the next 30 years?

Well, the world would start using more fossil fuels and ditch the renewable thing faster than that crazy ex girlfriend/boyfriend that stalks you.

But after years of under investment in fossil fuels (particularly outside of shale), the supply would not be able to be increased meaningfully (i.e. prices would rocket higher and stay there for as long as it takes to bring on more supply), and given the underinvestment and treatment of anyone who would suggest doing so as if they’ve committed mortal sin… well, it’s not coming back in a hurry.

Now, think of every good and service that is tied to the price of fossil fuels. This picture should illustrate the point — life as we know it.

IOGP oil and gas plumbingHmmm… isn’t the rising price of all the “stuff” mentioned above a good definition of inflation? But isn’t the world perfectly positioned for deflation?

Global cooling and inflation… what a toxic cocktail. But we are perfectly positioned for both. Ah, such poetry. Bring it on!

See also Worst Threat: Greenhouse Gas or Quiet Sun?

Elite Consensus Opinion Minority Contrary Opinion
Expect +1C Warmer from now to 2050 Expect -1C Colder from now to 2050
Mitigate Warming by Stopping Fossil Fuels Adapt to Cooling from Quiet Sun
Goal is Net Zero CO2 Emissions by 2050 Goal Robust Energy supply and Infrastructure Now

11 comments

  1. Jamie Spry · August 19

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “Sorting the wheat from the chaff is quite literally a full time role, and one thing that gets honed like a sword on an anvil is the skeptical critical thinking part of our brain.

    Trust but verify is so very important. And what I do know is that the entire global warming narrative, together with ‘the science is settled’, is complete utter nonsense. It has been extraordinarily successful, too.”

    More, rational food for thought.

    Like

  2. Jamie Spry · August 19

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “Sorting the wheat from the chaff is quite literally a full time role, and one thing that gets honed like a sword on an anvil is the skeptical critical thinking part of our brain.

    Trust but verify is so very important. And what I do know is that the entire global warming narrative, together with ‘the science is settled’, is complete utter nonsense. It has been extraordinarily successful, too.”

    More, rational food for thought.

    Like

  3. Pingback: What If It’s Global Cooling, Not Warming? – Climate- Science.press
  4. brianrlcatt · August 19

    Ron

    I suggest that is already determined from by the natural cycles we already know. Change is normal, and largely predictable at scale.

    This is simply the result of the longer solar wind cycles than the well known 11 year cycle.

    More low energy proton solar wind, means less high energy proton cosmic rays inonising the atmsphere, as they are known to do. Hence lower natural cloud formation levels hence less albedo, all provable effects, proven by observation. Hence warmer equilibrium SST reuired to create more couds and balamce off the solar wind effect, due to less clouds at a given SST.

    Not hard to follow, excellent cosmogenic isotope correlation. Way better science than “CO2 causes all observed change” IPCC mantra. because the evidence actually supports the solar effect well, and the CO2 barely at all..

    Graph:

    Paper:
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/1uio62ppmhlr4jy/Harmonic%20Analysis%20of%20Worldwide%20Temperature%20Proxies%20for%202000%20Years%20~%20Fulltext.webloc?dl=0

    Like

    • Ron Clutz · August 20

      Thanks for the link Brian. There is also this from Soon and the Connollys

      Like

      • brianrlcatt · August 20

        Thanks RON, I did see a mail referencing the paper that was the Connolly’s had participated in.

        I also received the Connolly’s recent email, seems they have had a bit of luck: sic

        “Our Names are Frances and Patrick Connolly from County Armagh in
        Northern Ireland. We Just Won 115 Million Pounds from the
        EuroMillions lottery jackpot Lottery draw. We are therefore giving out
        Grant donation of 1,500,000.00 pounds each to (50) Lucky
        international recipients worldwide to show God our appreciation. You
        received this message because you have be listed as one of the (50)
        lucky Individual Selected.

        Kindly send us the below details so that we can transfer your
        1,500,000.00 pounds in your name or direct our bank to effect the
        transfer of the funds to your operational bank account in your country.

        Full Name:
        Mobile No:
        Age:
        Country:

        Kindly visit the link for more details about the Winning;
        https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-46756469

        Send your response to (v76277@foxmail.com)

        Congratulation to You.
        Frances & Patrick Connolly”

        Like

      • Ron Clutz · August 20

        Too bad it wasn’t Ronan and Michael. Skeptics never strike it rich.

        Like

  5. HiFast · August 21

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

    Like

  6. Richard Greene · August 21

    What if no one has any idea what the future climate will be like
    … except for me?

    My own climate prediction, made in 1997,
    has been 100% accurate.

    I should have received a Nobel Prize,
    but I didn’t have any connections.

    From 1997:
    “The future climate will be warmer,
    unless it gets cooler.”

    Like

    • Ron Clutz · August 21

      Sorry Richard, but Al Gore does know the future climate

      Like

  7. muunyayo · August 24

    Reblogged this on Muunyayo .

    Like

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