Recent posts here discussed how rapidly has cooling set in this year. Of course that reality is inconvenient in the run up to Glasgow COP, so the scramble is on to claim that 2021 is hotter than ever. A previous post Heat Records Silly Season Again provides background for understanding that there are literally millions of temperature records that can be packaged to support any desirable warming or cooling claim.
A current example of such packaging is found in a recent tweet thread from Zeke Hausfather, a climate analyst who helped build the BEST dataset and a supporter of the IPCC agenda.
A curious person would note that only summer and land is shown, and would wonder: What am I not seeing? And then in the thread are various comments saying it was not at all warm where I live, this doesn’t add up. And then someone shows another graph from BEST giving a different impression.
Climate reporting is confusing because the scope of temperature averaging gives very different impressions, and at the mega scale rarely corresponds to anyone’s particular experience. So generalizations are claimed extrapolating from statistics, contradicted by many persons’ direct experience.
NOAA State of the Climate is another site advocating for the IPCC agenda and illustrates how this works. First the Global Climate Report:
Oh oh, that’s not as scary; the first two-thirds of 2021 are not #1, but #6, and with autumn coming on could go even lower. And to understand why most people will be put off by Hausfather’s claim, we go to the Regional Analysis in order to see what the year has been like in various continents (land by definition).
It becomes obvious that no matter where I live, don’t tell me this is the hottest year ever. OK some Africans may agree, but those in Oceania (mostly Australians) will boo you out of the room. And as for tourist destinations, forget about it:Footnote: Everyone has an agenda and packages data in support of their POV. Those who joined the anti-fossil fuel crusade are bound to find and amplify any bit of global warming they can find. My agenda is for people to consider the full amount of relevant data and facts, and to reason accordingly rather than go along with the crowd or their feelings. My approach is best expressed in this essay: