
Russian Nuclear Icebreakers on the Northern Sea Route, March 2025
The arctic ice extents are now reported through Mid-June 2026, and as noted previously the wavy polar vortex has hampered ice formation with incusions of warmer southern air into the Arctic circle. This factor receded in May and June, and extents have mostly closed the gap with the averages. The Northern Sea Route (NSR) goes through the Russian shelf seas of Laptev, East Siberian, and Chukchi seas on the way to Bering Strait in Beaufort Sea.
As the image from yesterday shows, despite some melting on the margins, and a bit of open water in East Siberian sea, the Arctic Ocean core is solid, expecially along the Eurasian NSR seen on the left vertical side.
The chart below shows the 20-year Mid-June averages for Arctic ice extents, along with 2026, 2025 and 2007 as well as SII v.4.
The deficit to average was as large as 440k km2 (day 156) to 739k km2, but since then the gap was halved 142k km2, before ending this period at 201k, or a deficit of 1.8%. SII tracked close to MASIE throughout.
The table below shows the distibution of ice extents on day 165 across regions of the Arctic ocean.
| Region | 2026165 | Dday 165 Ave. | 2026-Ave. | 2025165 | 2026-2025 |
| (0) Northern_Hemisphere | 10696425 | 10897539 | -201114 | 10567590 | 128835 |
| (1) Beaufort_Sea | 1042387 | 977664 | 64724 | 1069789 | -27402 |
| (2) Chukchi_Sea | 879186 | 811784 | 67402 | 884719 | -5533 |
| (3) East_Siberian_Sea | 1040050 | 1051599 | -11549 | 1050151 | -10101 |
| (4) Laptev_Sea | 845784 | 768965 | 76819 | 714429 | 131355 |
| (5) Kara_Sea | 788382 | 716558 | 71824 | 589168 | 199214 |
| (6) Barents_Sea | 68324 | 203502 | -135178 | 111023 | -42699 |
| (7) Greenland_Sea | 473392 | 582910 | -109518 | 548170 | -74778 |
| (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence | 595439 | 727315 | -131876 | 683063 | -87624 |
| (9) Canadian_Archipelago | 837498 | 797884 | 39614 | 825305 | 12193 |
| (10) Hudson_Bay | 957932 | 967494 | -9562 | 881108 | 76824 |
| (11) Central_Arctic | 3126593 | 3216681 | -90088 | 3165365 | -38772 |
| (12) Bering_Sea | 17089 | 38344 | -21255 | 19646 | -2557 |
| (13) Baltic_Sea | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
| (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk | 23112 | 35439 | -12327 | 24010 | -898 |
The table shows that most Eurasian regions are in surplus to the 20-year averages, with a small deficit in East Siberian sea.. The majority of the 2% overall deficit is from Baffin Bay, Barents, and Greenland seas, while Bering, Okhotsk and Baltic seas are as usual mostly open water at this time of year. All of these regions will be nearly ice-free end of summer.


Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.


