2026 Mid-June Arctic Ice Extents 98% Normal

Russian Nuclear Icebreakers on the Northern Sea Route, March 2025

The arctic ice extents are now reported through Mid-June 2026, and as noted previously the wavy polar vortex has hampered ice formation with incusions of warmer southern air into the Arctic circle.  This factor receded in May and June, and extents have mostly closed the gap with the averages. The Northern Sea Route (NSR) goes through the Russian shelf seas of Laptev, East Siberian, and Chukchi seas on the way to Bering Strait in Beaufort Sea.

 

As the image from yesterday shows, despite some melting on the margins, and a bit of open water in East Siberian sea, the Arctic Ocean core is solid, expecially along the Eurasian NSR seen on the left vertical side.

The chart below shows the 20-year Mid-June averages for Arctic ice extents, along with 2026, 2025 and 2007 as well as SII v.4.

 

The deficit to average was as large as 440k km2 (day 156) to 739k km2, but since then the gap was halved  142k km2, before ending this period at 201k, or a deficit of 1.8%.  SII tracked close to MASIE throughout.

The table below shows the distibution of ice extents on day 165 across regions of the Arctic ocean.

Region 2026165 Dday 165 Ave. 2026-Ave. 2025165 2026-2025
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere 10696425 10897539 -201114 10567590 128835
 (1) Beaufort_Sea 1042387 977664 64724 1069789 -27402
 (2) Chukchi_Sea 879186 811784 67402 884719 -5533
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea 1040050 1051599 -11549 1050151 -10101
 (4) Laptev_Sea 845784 768965 76819 714429 131355
 (5) Kara_Sea 788382 716558 71824 589168 199214
 (6) Barents_Sea 68324 203502 -135178 111023 -42699
 (7) Greenland_Sea 473392 582910 -109518 548170 -74778
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence 595439 727315 -131876 683063 -87624
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago 837498 797884 39614 825305 12193
 (10) Hudson_Bay 957932 967494 -9562 881108 76824
 (11) Central_Arctic 3126593 3216681 -90088 3165365 -38772
 (12) Bering_Sea 17089 38344 -21255 19646 -2557
 (13) Baltic_Sea 0 5 -5 0 0
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk 23112 35439 -12327 24010 -898

The table shows that most Eurasian regions are in surplus to the 20-year averages, with a small deficit in East Siberian sea..  The majority of the 2% overall deficit is from Baffin Bay, Barents, and Greenland seas, while Bering, Okhotsk and Baltic seas are as usual mostly open water at this time of year. All of these regions will be nearly ice-free end of summer.

 

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

 

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