Dipole Down Under

Vijay Jayaraj explains how weather is created around the Indian Ocean in this article Record Heat and Cold Expose Climate Alarmists’ Bias. Excerpts in italics with my bolds and images.

Australia was literally on fire in December. Record heat made headlines in global media. So did the extreme rainfall in east Africa.

You and everybody else on earth can guess what climate alarmists blamed for both: man-made global warming, a.k.a. climate change.

But record cold in northern India at the same time didn’t make headlines in any major media in the United States or the United Kingdom.

Why? Because it didn’t fit expectations.

It’s a perfect example of climate alarmists’ obvious bias that’s seldom brought to light.

In December, east Africa received extremely heavy rainfall, causing widespread floods in Kenya and Djibouti. The floods impacted more than one million people and killed scores already challenged by extreme poverty.

During the same month, Australia recorded all-time highs. Widespread, devastating wildfires made the situation worse.

Climate alarmists predictably claimed these weather events for their propaganda.  Almost all news article about the Australian heat and wildfires ultimately blamed man-made climate change. But more than four-fifths of Australia’s wildfires were caused by arson, not climate change.

And what caused the extreme hot weather was not global warming but a phenomenon called Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (PIOD).

PIOD is a seasonal weather phenomenon that can affect climate in east Africa, south Asia, and Australia all at once.

The same PIOD that caused Australia’s heat (but not its wildfires) caused the year-end floods in east Africa. It also caused extreme cold in northern India in the same month. Largely underreported in global media, the cold continued right through to the end of December.

Delhi, India’s capital, recorded its second-coldest December in 118 years. Intermittent cold waves gripped Punjab, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and Delhi.

On December 28, the heart of Delhi recorded a minimum of 1.7˚C (35˚F). The temperature likely reached freezing outside the city’s urban heat island effect. The cold wave impacted everyday life for 29 million people in Delhi.

But neither CNN nor BBC headlines ever mentioned it. It runs contrary to their narrative. Winters are supposed to become warmer. Though the mainstream media do link the PIOD to the Australian heat and the east African floods, they never shy away from blaming man-made climate change and find ways to link both.

Now their new theory is that the PIOD itself has become more intense because of climate change. In other words, weather events are non-existent in their dictionary. Each and every extreme weather event is blamed on man-made climate change.

This is what happens when people read every weather event through the preconceived lenses of climate alarmism.

Closer inspection reveals no change in very hot days in Australia since World War I. So hot weather (short term) and hot climate (long term) have nothing to do with the wildfire outbreak.

December’s extremes — heat in Australia, flooding in east Africa, cold in India — all were caused by a strong PIOD, not climate change.

These weather events neither prove nor disprove man-made climate change. But they do expose the bias of climate alarmists who blame them on man-made global warming.

Vijay Jayaraj (M.Sc., Environmental Science, University of East Anglia, England) is a research contributor for the Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation.


The real tragedy is that Australian officials keep obsessing over their bogus climate models instead taking seriously real world weather warnings. It is not like they had no advance notice; this was published May 16, 2019, which should have triggered major efforts to reduce the fuel load long before summer.

ABC Online: A positive Indian Ocean Dipole this winter is bad news for drought-hit parts of Australia

Cool seas off WA’s north-west could kick off a climatic phenomenon that may exacerbate a winter drought across central and southern Australia.

See Also Aussies’ Choice:  Burn Cool or Burn Hot


  1. Jamie Spry · January 8, 2020

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “YOU and everybody else on earth can guess what climate alarmists blamed for both: man-made global warming, a.k.a. climate change.

    But record cold in northern India at the same time didn’t make headlines in any major media in the United States or the United Kingdom…”

    CLIMATE scientist, Vijay Jayaraj separates ‘climate change’ hysteria from actual science, explaining a major climatic factor contributing to Australia’s costly bushfire season…

    Liked by 1 person

  2. nottrampis · January 9, 2020

    They were not caused by arson. Most were caused by lightning strikes. This is fake news of the highest order.


    • Ron Clutz · January 9, 2020

      Not so nottrampus.
      Around 85 percent of bushfires are caused by humans either deliberately or accidentally starting them, Dr. Paul Read, co-director of the National Centre for Research in Bushfire and Arson, told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) in September 2019.

      “About 85 percent are related to human activity, 13 percent confirmed arson, and 37 percent suspected arson,” he said. “The remainder are usually due to reckless fire lighting or even just children playing with fire.”


      • nottrampis · January 9, 2020

        I have no idea of what he is talking about but most ‘arsonists’ create fires in grass usually in major cities or on the periphery. Many more are created by dills burning when they are not allowed.
        They are easily put out. Tp call them bushfires is a travesty. They do waste the time of the fireys though.

        The major bushfires here were created by lightning stokes as they always have been.


  3. Ron Clutz · January 9, 2020

    Whether it is lightning as you believe or humans as Dr. Read believes, just don’t pass the buck to CO2 when there was plenty of time to take out tinder.

    Liked by 1 person

    • nottrampis · January 9, 2020

      Mate in less than 20 years we have had 1 in 100 year droughts.

      The dryness now is at a record so we have a tinderbox. Add in records high temperatures and very strong winds and we have a nightmare scenario which was predicted by ross Garnaut many years ago.

      We have had in NSW record hazard reduction and have had for most of the decade. and it made no difference. Remembering of course hazard reduction is quite expensive, labour intensive, very hard to control when it is so dry and finally emits poisonous smoke in vast quantities.


  4. Hifast · January 9, 2020

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.


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